Thermal coal in a carbon-conscious world: the IEA 450 Scenario

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The call for a low-carbon economy has grown louder since the COP21 accord in Paris in December 2015. The world is becoming increasingly conscious of the potential harm caused by carbon emissions but has yet to agree on a clear path towards reducing those emissions. In this insight, we examine the impact of the adoption of the IEA's New Policies Scenario (NPS) and its 450 Scenario on our latest forecast of global thermal coal supply, demand and prices.

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 9 images and tables including:

  • Key assumptions and drivers in scenarios
  • FOB Newcastle price comparison, US$/t (real 2016)
  • Global CO2 emissions (Mt)
  • Thermal coal demand summary in each scenario (Mt)
  • Global thermal coal demand comparison (Mt)
  • Seaborne thermal coal demand comparison (Mt)
  • Thermal coal supply summary in each scenario (Mt)
  • Australia export supply comparison (Mt)
  • Indonesia export supply comparison (Mt)

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Thermal coal in a carbon-conscious world.xls

    XLS 339.50 KB

  • Document

    Thermal coal in a carbon-conscious world: the IEA 450 Scenario

    PDF 340.74 KB