Insight
Where next for JPU pricing?
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Report summary
In this insight, we have analysed supply, demand and costs of typical JPU-type supply and present a forecast of JPU prices. The premium will stay high in the short-term: global oversupply persists but for JPU-type supply, availability is decreasing. The premium declines over the mid-term as supply increases from new projects with high quality bituminous coal, but increases to almost US$10/t by 2035 (JPU price of US$121/t in real US$2013).
Table of contents
- Executive Summary
-
JPU contracts: long period of price setting
- Typical JPU contract volumes (Mt)
- The Delta – JPU contract versus FOB Newcastle spot (US$/t)
- Development of the high ash market: what it means for Asia-Pacific pricing
- Japanese power generation: how long until normal returns
- JPU pricing: the future
Tables and charts
This report includes 7 images and tables including:
- Where next for JPU pricing?: Table 1
- Growth of High Ash Market from Australia: 2007-2013
- JPU typical supply availability and Japan’s declining share of the Asia-Pacific high-bituminous market
- Price forecast, US 2013 US$/t
- Where next for JPU pricing?: Table 2
- JPU contract and FOB Newcastle spot price relationship (US$/t)
- Where next for JPU pricing?: Image 2
What's included
This report contains:
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