Commodity Market Report

France gas and LNG markets long-term outlook 2020

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19 October 2020

France gas and LNG markets long-term outlook 2020

Report summary

Despite Covid-19 restrictions hitting overall energy demand, France’s gas consumption will rise in 2020 as it makes up for the shortfall in the power mix caused by nuclear curtailments. Over the long term, gas will continue to play a crucial, transitional role in the energy mix: • Gas benefits from policies to eradicate coal-fired power in the short term and cuts to nuclear over the long term • Demand in the industrial sector remains sticky as some processes switch from coal to gas. The mature nature of the French industrial sector means there is little downside from further reductions in heavy industry • A large and growing LNG import capacity will absorb a significant share of the high LNG availability for Europe through the next decade as annual gas prices remain subdued • France is making significant efforts to reduce emissions through banning the sale of ICE vehicles and demand for LNG and CNG vehicles will grow markedly over the forecast period

Table of contents

  • Power generation
  • Residential and commercial
  • Industrial
  • Transport
  • Gas pipeline infrastructure
  • LNG infrastructure
  • Storage infrastructure
  • Piped imports: historical flows and contracts
  • LNG imports: historical flows and contracts
  • Gas exports: historical flows and contracts
  • Tariffs and access
  • Gas trading
  • Hubs and price development
  • French hub gas price forecast

Tables and charts

This report includes 21 images and tables including:

  • Gas production profile 2015 to 2040
  • Gas and LNG infrastructure
  • Import Capacity
  • Export Capacity
  • France storage outlook
  • Gas supply demand gap
  • Gas flows into France
  • Historical piped imports
  • France contracted piped imports
  • Historical LNG imports
  • France contracted LNG imports
  • Historical piped exports
  • France contracted piped exports
  • Long run delivered costs of gas to France
  • GRTgaz French entry and exit capacity charges
  • Terega French entry and exit capacity charges
  • Tariffs for the use of LNG terminals
  • Gas price forecast

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    France gas and LNG markets long-term outlook H2 2020.xlsm

    XLSM 420.87 KB

  • Document

    France gas and LNG markets long-term outlook 2020

    PDF 2.15 MB