Commodity Market Report

North America gas weekly update: another early winter?

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Weather is giving us another rally, as an intensifying shot of cold in late October and early November has pushed prompt prices up by another $0.30/mmbtu. Higher HDDs translate into a significant injection fall-off after this week. Has winter come early this year? If only we had a groundhog. Alas, as it is, we must rely on American and European short-term weather models, which show significant divergence. Can the cold persist? Non-weather fundamentals are not helping the bulls, as production continues to outperform demand increases from LNG. When will that show weakness?

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    Imbalance_chart_pred.xlsx

    XLSX 429.38 KB

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    Scrape_data.xlsx

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