Insight
China economic focus June 2023: local government debt at risk
*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below
Report summary
China’s public debt level is at an alarming stage, with total government debt reaching 96% in 2022. The risks of a debt crisis vary across provinces. Shaanxi, Guangxi, Qinghai, Yunnan, Sichuan, Jilin, Gansu and Guizhou provinces are at the top of the troubling list. China will try to manage a slow deleveraging process to avoid a debt crisis. However, it will lead to a material slowdown in infrastructure investment and associated commodity demand.
Table of contents
- Highlights
- Why not stimulate infrastructure?
- How large is local government debt?
- What are the solutions?
- Appendix
Tables and charts
This report includes the following images and tables:
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Country comparison of public debt levelLocal government debt by provincesLiability ratio of official debt
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The interest rates of urban investment bondsWood Mackenzie's proprietary China dataManufacturing PMIIndustrial production and retail salesTradeInflationPropertyInvestmentMoney supply (M2)
- 1 more item(s)...
What's included
This report contains:
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