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China economic focus September 2024: the impact of the interest rate cuts

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The US interest rate cuts bring support to the Chinese property markets. However, the determining factor is still the fundamentals and sentiments in China. China’s central bank has more room for monetary easing. Interest rate cuts are an essential policy stimulus for China to end deflation. Subsequent renminbi appreciation may hurt China’s exports. However, products from the US and Europe may become more competitive in 2025.

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • The immediate impact on property markets
  • Next steps: monetary easing
  • Potential challenge: weakened competitiveness in exports
  • Appendix

Tables and charts

This report includes the following images and tables:

    US’ federal fund effective rate vs China’s loan prime rates (LPR)Weekly housing sales in 21 citiesGDP deflator, CPI and PPI
    Fiscal incomeSpecial-purpose local government bondCurrency appreciation between July 2024 and December 2025Wood Mackenzie's proprietary China dataManufacturing PMIIndustrial production and retail salesTradeInflationProperty
  • 3 more item(s)...

What's included

This report contains: