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Oil prices: Pre-sanction projects in Sub-Saharan Africa

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Report summary

Sub Sahara has 39 probable projects yet to take FID representing 21 billion boe of commercially recoverable reserves. We estimate 30% of this has a breakeven over US$80/bbl when using a 15% discount rate. With investors now asking searching questions of project participants we feel at least half of the probable projects will be under close scrutiny. Deepwater projects in West Africa Angola in particular face the greatest threat of delays or cancellation.

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