Insight

Oil prices: Pre-sanction projects in Sub-Saharan Africa

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Report summary

Sub-Sahara has 39 ‘probable’ projects yet to take FID, representing 21 billion boe of commercially recoverable reserves.  We estimate 30% of this has a breakeven over US$80/bbl when using a 15% discount rate.  With investors now asking searching questions of project participants, we feel at least half of the probable projects will be under close scrutiny.  Deepwater projects in West Africa - Angola in particular - face the greatest threat of delays or cancellation.

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    Oil prices: Pre-sanction projects in Sub-Saharan Africa

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