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Oversupplied and overheated: China's housing policy dilemma

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30 November 2016

Oversupplied and overheated: China's housing policy dilemma

Report summary

China's housing market has been booming in 2016. At the end of September, China launched its 'Housing 930' policy, a package of regulations aimed at cooling the overheated housing markets in major cities. But will the policy work as hoped? Is it possible to tackle the overheated market in major coastal cities, even though huge inventories remain in other parts of the country? More importantly, do changing housing policies threaten China’s economy?

Table of contents

  • Market defies policy intentions
  • The mismatch between land and people is the real problem
  • More policy shocks to keep a close eye on?

Tables and charts

This report includes 22 images and tables including:

  • China real estate investment
  • Floor space sold, starts and completions
  • Pre-sales and completions growth
  • Urban residential completions
  • Beijing and Shanghai's land and population shares
  • Housing price and exchange rate
  • USA Purchasing Managers' Indices
  • Eurozone Purchasing Managers' Indices
  • Japan Purchasing Managers' Indices
  • China Purchasing Managers' Indices
  • Industrial production
  • Industrial production
  • Consumer Sentiment Index (3-month moving avg.)
  • Consumer Sentiment Index (3-month moving avg.)
  • 10-year government bond yields (%)
  • 10-year government bond yields (%)
  • Consumer Price Index (annual % change)
  • Consumer Price Index (annual % change)
  • Exchange Rate Indices vs US$ (Jan 2012 = 100)
  • Exchange Rate Indices vs US$ (Jan 2012 = 100)
  • Oil and gas prices
  • Copper and freight prices

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Oversupplied and overheated: China's housing policy dilemma

    PDF 792.75 KB

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