Commodity Market Report

Global aluminium short-term outlook March 2019

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*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below

The aluminium market service short term outlook (STO) is published monthly and provides a forecast of aluminium supply and demand fundamentals over the next two-years. Our latest iteration of global market fundamentals continues to point to a tight market over the next few years. This assumes a soft landing for the global economy and aluminium demand plus some restraint in Chinese output growth. However, survey-based evidence suggests that global economic growth is decelerating quicker than expected. The risk to our market outlook is weighted to the downside – a less tight market and price lower than our base case forecast.

Table of contents

  • China
    • Japan
    • Europe
  • North America
  • Alumina Market Developments

Tables and charts

This report includes the following images and tables:

  • China's Caixin PMI rebounds but still below 50
  • US-China trade plummets as trade war bites
  • No end in sight to downturn in the automotive sector
  • The China construction conundrum
  • Sources of finance for property investment
  • US imports of aluminium structures from China
  • US imports of can stock
  • US production of rolled products
  • Summary of February production, kt
  • Monthly output
  • Changes in aluminium production estimates since February, (kt)
  • Spot alumina prices, (US$/t)
  • 12 more item(s)...

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Global aluminium short-term outlook March 2019

    PDF 1.16 MB