Commodity Market Report

Global aluminium short-term outlook October 2019

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The aluminium market service short term outlook (STO) is published monthly and provides a forecast of aluminium supply and demand fundamentals over the next two-years. The global supply/demand balance for primary aluminium is negative by 1.5 Mt in 2019 but is switching to surplus from 2020. As supply-demand fundamentals deteriorate, prices weaken and smelters are more likely to curtail loss making production from 2020.

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes the following images and tables:

  • PMI survey improving
  • Seasonal lift in property sales, but unlikely to be sustained
  • Fixed asset investment remains subdued
  • US shipments of flat products
  • US shipments of extrusions
  • US imports of can sheet
  • Alcoa’s smelters
  • Summary of September production, kt
  • Changes in aluminium production estimates since September, (kt)
  • China alumina imports rise on widening arbitrage
  • China alumina imports
  • World ex-China alumina balances, China imports and Spot prices, 2018-2021, (kt)
  • 10 more item(s)...

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Global aluminium short-term outlook October 2019

    PDF 1.13 MB