Commodity Market Report

Global zinc long-term outlook Q3 2019

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The Global Zinc Metal Market Long-term Outlook provides the latest update of detailed supply and demand analysis and price forecasts for the zinc market out to 2040. Macro-economic concerns are overwhelming the influence of zinc’s fundamentals and the base case zinc price is forecast to remain low in the near-term. Our scenario analyses conform to the causality of supply, demand, stocks and price. They also consider a judgement of investor sentiment and behaviour that over the last four decades has so often caused zinc to test the highs and lows of the stock cycle and resulted in a history of volatile prices and treatment charges.

Table of contents

  • Key Points
  • Demand – what's changed?
  • Supply – what's changed?
  • Base case price forecasts
  • Scenario analysis
    • Risks to forecasts
    • Near- medium-term
    • Long-term
    • Overview
    • Project allowance
    • Africa
    • Asia
    • Europe
    • Latin America
    • Middle East
    • North America
    • 3 more item(s)...
    • Overview
    • Africa
    • Asia
    • Europe
    • Russia and the Caspian
    • Middle East
    • Latin America
    • North America
    • 3 more item(s)...

Tables and charts

This report includes the following images and tables:

    Forecast stocks and pricesPrice forecasts and refined market balancesConcentrate market balances
    US$ Trade Weighted Index versus zinc price with TWI averagesLME cash zinc prices and base case forecast 1950- 2035Zinc price forecasts (real $/t)Zinc price forecasts (nominal $/t)Global slab zinc consumption by regionThe decline in the use of zinc-based die-casting alloys has reduced zinc's intensity of use in the global economyGlobal slab zinc consumption by regionGlobal slowdown a riskWorld capability forecasts by region and global market adjustment
  • 26 more item(s)...

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Global zinc long-term outlook Q3 2019

    PDF 1.25 MB