Asset Report

Mexico Salinas - Sureste exploration basin

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16 February 2018

Mexico Salinas - Sureste exploration basin

Report summary

The Salinas-Sureste Basin in southeast Mexico encompasses several sub-basins stretching from onshore to ultra-deepwater. They hold a variety of play types that have yielded discoveries of dry gas to extra-heavy oil and everything in between. The Campeche sub-basin holds some of the largest fields found in the Gulf of Mexico (GoM), including the super-giant Cantarell complex. In July 2015, Mexico awarded exploration blocks to IOCs for the first time. Two shallow-water and two deepwater licensing rounds have been held since 2015. To date, 11 shallow-water and 13 deepwater blocks have been awarded in the basin. This Exploration Basin report provides a detailed analysis of exploration performance and future potential, including location maps and details on costs, licensing and fiscal terms. We model prospect and play economics and forecast yet-to-find volume. This report is accompanied by excel downloads which detail costs, volumes and value.

Table of contents

  • Key facts
    • Key issues include:
  • Location maps
  • Participation
  • Key companies
    • Key play characteristics
    • Wells drilled
    • Basin success rates
    • Volumes discovered
    • Yet-to-find potential
    • Play inputs
      • Creaming curve and key play data
      • Frontier methodology for Mesozoic-Cenozoic Deepwater play
      • Model field pool size distribution
      • Existing discoveries and modelled yet-to-find pool size distribution
    • Yet-to-find costs and underlying development assumptions
  • Costs
    • Licensing
      • Shallow water PSCs
      • Deepwater licences
    • Oil and gas prices
      • Mesozoic Shelf Medium Oil and Cenozoic Shelf Oil
    • TYP economics
    • Outlook economics
      • Development value
        • Cenozoic Shelf Oil
        • Mesozoic Shelf Medium Oil
        • Cenozoic-Mesozoic Deepwater
      • Prospect breakeven price
        • Cenozoic Shelf Oil
        • Mesozoic Shelf Medium Oil
        • Cenozoic-Mesozoic Deepwater
        • Expected money value (EMV)
          • Play economics
        • Full-cycle basin economics
        • Implied acreage value

Tables and charts

This report includes 73 images and tables including:

  • Play level data
  • Assumptions
  • Value creation versus investment (TYP period)
  • Value creation versus investment (outlook)
  • Exploration history map
  • Exploration wells by play
  • Licensed exploration acreage
  • Expiry forecast of current licences
  • Key licence holders
  • Key well operators (TYP period)
  • Key companies: Table 3
  • Recent discovery costs
  • Summary of discovery and development costs
  • Exploration and appraisal spend by well type
  • Exploration spend per well and average well depth
  • Commerciality index
  • Geology: Table 1
  • Drilling activity by well type
  • Cumulative exploration wells by play
  • Discoveries and success rates
  • Discoveries by licence year and drilling year
  • Basin creaming curve
  • Key basin data
  • Volumes discovered by year
  • Average discovery size and volume per well by year
  • Top discoveries (TYP period)
  • Cumulative discoveries by play
  • Cumulative volumes discovered by play
  • Forecast data by play (outlook)
  • Cenozoic Shelf Oil
  • Mesozoic Shelf Medium Oil
  • Mesozoic-Cenozoic Deepwater
  • Value creation, exploration spend and volume discovered
  • Returns by drilling year
  • Breakeven price versus prospect size
  • Value creation versus investment
  • Cenozoic Shelf Oil
  • Reserves and resources: Table 4
  • Mesozoic Shelf Medium Oil
  • Reserves and resources: Table 5
  • Frontier methodology parameters
  • Key play data
  • Cenozoic Shelf Oil
  • Mesozoic Shelf Medium Oil
  • Mesozoic-Cenozoic Deepwater
  • Cenozoic Shelf Oil
  • Mesozoic Shelf Medium Oil
  • Mesozoic-Cenozoic Deepwater
  • Fiscal and regulatory: Table 1
  • Fiscal and regulatory: Table 2
  • Brent and local oil price assumptions
  • HH and local gas price assumptions
  • Brent and local oil price assumptions
  • Value of potential discoveries
  • Unit value of potential discoveries
  • Value of potential discoveries
  • Unit value of potential discoveries
  • Value of potential discoveries
  • Unit value of potential discoveries
  • Breakeven price of exploration
  • Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities
  • Breakeven price of exploration
  • Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities
  • Breakeven price of exploration
  • Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities
  • Cenozoic Shelf Oil
  • Mesozoic Shelf Medium Oil
  • Cenozoic-Mesozoic Deepwater
  • Full-cycle economic analysis
  • Average value of future discoveries and implied acreage value
  • Cenozoic Shelf Oil
  • Mesozoic Shelf Medium Oil
  • Cenozoic-Mesozoic Deepwater

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    3 Outlook Mexico Salinas - Sureste.zip

    ZIP 6.11 MB

  • Document

    Mexico Salinas - Sureste exploration basin

    PDF 6.95 MB

  • Document

    Mexico Salinas - Sureste exploration basin

    ZIP 13.00 MB

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