Commodity Market Report
North America Crude Market long-term December 2021 outlook to 2050
Report summary
Our new long-term outlook shows a North American midstream system that will see pockets of stress requiring investment, despite a modest downgrade to our Lower 48 outlook. Medium term upgrades to our Western Canada supply outlook will lead to increased capacity needs in the US mid-continent and the in-service of the TransMoutnain expansion ripples through crude trade well into the late 2020s. Key topics include: • Latest US Lower 48 outlook amidst evolving producer behaviour • Impact of TransMoutain expansion as far away as USGC crude slates and waterborne exports • Latest views on Permian long-haul investment needs • Revised lower export volume forecast – what does it mean for USGC infrastructure needs?
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