Commodity Market Report

North America Crude Markets short-term outlook: October 2021

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As we roll our short-term outlook out to 2023 we assess the market implications of the in-service of the beleaguered TransMountain Expansion (TMX) pipeline by mid-2023. The immediate effects will be seen in Western Canadian pricing. However, second order impacts are likely to be seen in Cushing inventories, USGC light-heavy spreads, and even impacts in the Pacific basin with Dubai pricing. In this update we assess the market impacts of the TMX in-service as well as: • 2023 forecast extensions for supply, pricing, inventories and midstream forecasts • Effects of an anticipated lingering capital discipline mantra in US L48 in 2023 • Impacts from Permian supply growth in 2023 on a completed midstream system buildout

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  • Document

    North America Crude Market Short Term Outlook October 2021 Slidepack.pdf

    PDF 1.30 MB

  • Document

    North America Crude Market Supply And Pricing Outlook Oct 2021.xlsx

    XLSX 947.01 KB

  • Document

    North America Crude Midstream Outlook October 2021.xlsx

    XLSX 3.34 MB

  • Document

    WCSB Supply And Diluent Outlook October 2021.xlsx

    XLSX 9.36 MB