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Thailand power affordability - how much coal?


Thailand power affordability - how much coal?

Report summary

EGAT is finalising the new 20-year Power Development Plan (PDP). It appears that coal is being prioritised to ensure long-term power security and affordability. With the depleting piped gas reserves and the projected role of high cost LNG, increasing the share of gas in the fuel mix will directly translate into higher power tariffs. To maintain the tariffs at current levels in real terms, we forecast that the contribution of coal in the plant capacity mix should top 20% by 2025 and 30% by 2030.


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This report includes 1 file(s)

  • Thailand power affordability - how much coal? PDF - 432.83 KB 4 Pages, 0 Tables, 8 Figures

Description

This Power Markets Insight report highlights the key issues surrounding this topic, and draws out the implications for those involved.

For participants, suppliers and advisors who want to look at the trends, risks and issues within the power industry, this report gives you an expert opinion and analysis to help inform your decision making.

Wood Mackenzie's detailed analysis and reliable market forecasts provide a strong reference, enabling a quick and concise description about the relationship between this event and its implications.

Underpinned by our extensive gas, coal and oil markets research, Wood Mackenzie's detailed analysis and reliable market forecasts provide a reliable foundation for investments and corporate planning. We help you understand key regulatory and economic drivers, and emerging industry tends in the power industry.

  • Pricing Mechanism
  • What are the options available?
  • What does it require to maintain the current tariffs?
  • Impact on LNG
  • Conclusion

In this report there are 8 tables or charts, including:

  • Pricing Mechanism
  • What are the options available?
    • Average cost and tariff
    • Long Run Marginal Cost (LRMC) by technology (2020)
    • Cost of generation vs current average tariff (real 2013)
    • Estimated change in tariff from current levels (real 2013)
  • What does it require to maintain the current tariffs?
    • Comparison with PDP 2010, Revision 3 (2025)
    • Thailand power affordability - how much coal?: Image 6
  • Impact on LNG
    • Gas demand in equivalent mtpa
    • Comparison with PDP: Reduction in LNG demand
  • Conclusion
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