European refinery closure threat index - delaying the inevitable?
This insight is an update on our previous refinery closure threat analysis, completed end 2014. The industry has changed significantly since then as we have witnessed some very strong refining margins in Europe. But is this sustainable and what does it mean for future refinery closures in the region? In the insight, we analyse how the margin environment has changed, future risks and any upside for European refining. We also briefly look at other refineries in the Atlantic basin, which may also be at risk of closure. We then analyse in detail refineries in seven regions in Europe and discuss which assets are most at risk of closure.
Table of contents
Change in environment since November 2014
Future risks to European refining
Is there any upside for European refining?
Did Wood Mackenzie get it right in terms of closures?