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OPEC+ falls apart - impact on refining
*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below
Report summary
Since the breakup of the OPEC+ production cut agreement on 6 March, Saudi Arabia has announced price cuts and its intention to increase supplies to international and domestic customers in Q2 2020. From a refining perspective, this material increase in supply of medium/sour barrels will widen crude differentials, providing much needed margin support in Europe and Asia. But the support is likely to be short lived - the impact of lower oil prices is unlikely to spur product demand growth nor stimulate refining’s call on crude for long if product demand remains weak and cracks spreads remain at current levels.
Table of contents
- Crude differentials to widen as Saudi Aramco slashes OSPs
- Additional medium/sour crude processing to collapse HSFO values
- Low prices to limit demand boost
- Refining outlook remains weak
Tables and charts
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Singapore FCC margin differential WTI-Arab Light
What's included
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