OPEC+ falls apart - impact on refining

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10 March 2020

OPEC+ falls apart - impact on refining

Report summary

Since the breakup of the OPEC+ production cut agreement on 6 March, Saudi Arabia has announced price cuts and its intention to increase supplies to international and domestic customers in Q2 2020. From a refining perspective, this material increase in supply of medium/sour barrels will widen crude differentials, providing much needed margin support in Europe and Asia. But the support is likely to be short lived - the impact of lower oil prices is unlikely to spur product demand growth nor stimulate refining’s call on crude for long if product demand remains weak and cracks spreads remain at current levels.

Table of contents

  • Crude differentials to widen as Saudi Aramco slashes OSPs
  • Additional medium/sour crude processing to collapse HSFO values
  • Low prices to limit demand boost
  • Refining outlook remains weak

Tables and charts

This report includes 1 images and tables including:

  • Singapore FCC margin differential WTI-Arab Light

What's included

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    OPEC+ falls apart - impact on refining

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