Insight
Will refinery rationalization continue at the US Gulf Coast despite global capacity crunch?
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Report summary
2022 has brought record profits to the refining industry, with particularly advantageous market conditions for US refiners less exposed to escalating operating costs. With the LyondellBasell Houston refinery for sale, is it likely a buyer will emerge? In this insight, we explore an asset-level valuation based on forecast refinery utilization, optimal yields, and regional product pricing. We also propose expected impacts to regional product balances and key crack spreads in the event of a closure.
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