Insight

Australia's North West Shelf LNG: the clock is ticking for backfill

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Australia's North West Shelf has been producing LNG since 1989. The LNG plant has production capacity available from next year. By 2027, this could increase to 7 mmtpa of spare capacity. The plant’s partners are looking for a third-party supply source to maintain production at full capacity. We see two windows of opportunity for upstream projects. The first is near-term ullage that can be utilised by a small upstream development and the second is a large resource that can extend the life of the plant. In our insight we consider what projects and companies will take advantage of the NWS spare capacity.

Table of contents

  • Executive Summary
  • A commercially complex project requires backfill
  • The value proposition: the rationale for keeping the NWS full
  • The opportunity: who can take advantage and when?
    • Opportunity 1: small scale developments (2022-2027)
    • Opportunity 2: large scale developments (post-2025)
  • Scarborough – the upstream supply for Pluto expansion or NWS backfill?
  • Scarborough to NWS vs Pluto: how do the projects compare?
  • Browse: the leading NWS backfill project
  • M&A – collaboration in Australia’s oil and gas sector
    • Appendix 1 - economic assumptions and results

Tables and charts

This report includes 12 images and tables including:

  • NWS operating cost per BOE, assuming no backfill
  • Possible NWS LNG train shutdown schedule
  • Windows of opportunity: NWS production profile
  • Carnarvon basin
  • NWS LNG production profile Woodside share
  • Woodside share including Chevron interest

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Australia's North West Shelf LNG: the clock is ticking for backfill

    PDF 1.25 MB