What's inside this report?
- Corporate news: What’s caught the team’s attention in the headlines this month
- Deep dive: Expert analysis from our dedicated team on the most exciting developments in the sector – from M&A activity to new exploration to geopolitical developments
- What to watch: What to expect from the Canadian upstream sector over the next few months
Report summary
The Canada upstream in brief provides our expert opinion and analysis of the top upstream stories as they unfold. We have a dedicated team of experienced industry analysts covering all regions of Canadian upstream activity – Oil Sands, Western Canada Sedimentary Basin, Arctic, and offshore East Coast. We primarily focus on: exploration and appraisal drilling, project developments, production, licensing, fiscal and regulatory changes, geopolitics, and corporate and M&A activity.
Table of contents
- Recent insights
- Deal activity
-
TMX cost overruns: assessing the aftermath
- Jonah Resnick , 22 September 2023
- Adiós! Peyto to acquire remaining Repsol Canada assets
- Tyson Gervais , 07 September 2023
- Strathcona Resources to go public through Pipestone acquisition
- Tyson Gervais , 03 August 2023
- More M&A inbound
- Equinor and BP delay the long awaited Bay du Nord sanction decision, again.
- Mark Oberstoetter , 31 May 2023
- Decoding Alberta elections: what does it mean for the upstream industry?
- Mark Oberstoetter , 29 May 2023
- ConocoPhillips changes Canadianisation to North Americanisation
- Jonah Resnick , 26 May 2023
- ConocoPhillips motivation
- Suncor disapointment
- Stay tuned
- Devastating start to wildfire season in Alberta
- Mark Oberstoetter , 8 May 2023
- TotalEnergies bids au revoir to its oil sands asset via sale to Suncor
- Mark Oberstoetter , 27 April 2023
- Newfoundland & Labrador is putting 50 parcels on offer
- Mark Oberstoetter , 18 April 2023
- The "I's" have it: oil sands developments accelerate at Blackrod and Cold Lake
- Scott Norlin , 7 Feb 2023
- Blueberry River First Nations and BC Government reach agreement on oil and gas development
- Scott Norlin and Ryan Taylor , 19 January 2023
- Crescent Point adds to its Kaybob Duvernay position
- Mark Oberstoetter , 9 December 2022
- Newfoundland & Labrador lease sale attracts bids of Cdn$238 million
- Mark Oberstoetter , 2 November 2022
- New dawn for oil sands transactions? TotalEnergies and Teck indicate potential spin off of oil sands assets
- Scott Norlin , 29 September 2022
- Enbridge divests working interest to Aii (Athabasca Indigenous Investments)
-
Tamarack Energy expands in the Clearwater play with acquisition of Deltastream
- Jonah Resnick , 12 September 2022
-
Kiwetinohk consolidates in Placid Montney
- Scott Norlin , 25 August 2022
-
Alberta releases geothermal development regulation
- Scott Norlin , 17 August 2022
-
Quarterly results, growing differentials and explaining our bitumen prices
- Mark Oberstoetter , 8August 2022
-
Strathcona acquires Serafina in private takeover
- Scott Norlin , 3 August 2022
-
Enbridge takes a stake in the Woodfibre LNG project
- Mark Oberstoetter , 29 July 2022
-
Alberta proposes changes to TIER
- Scott Norlin , 27 July 2022
-
An ongoing discussion: oil and gas emissions cap
- Scott Norlin , 18 July 2022
-
Entropy commissioning CCS at Glacier, plus a promising pipeline of additional phases
- Scott Norlin , 12 July 2022
-
Cenovus and BP swap oil sands for offshore
- Scott Norlin ,13 June 2022
-
Cenovus and Suncor re sanction the West White Rose project
- Mark Oberstoetter , 31 May 2022
-
Canada cost inflation - the effect and response
- Rowena Gunn 25 May 2022
-
Newfoundland & Labrador 2022 call for bids: last call, or just another bite at the cherry?
- Jonah Resnick and Julie Wilson , 12 May 2022
-
Canada oil sands: Q1 2022 net earnings top nine billion
- Rowena Gunn , 10 May 2022
-
Activist investor comes at Suncor
- Rowena Gunn and Jonah Resnick , 29 April 2022
-
CNRL hits Cdn$100 billion market valuation milestone
- Rowena Gunn ,26 April 2022
-
Canada carbon investment tax credit clarity
- Scott Norlin , Jon Gorrie and Peter Findlay , 11 April 2022
-
Suncor: The wind stops blowing, but on track for 2050 net zero
- Jonah Resnick , 7 April 2022
-
Bay du Nord receives federal approval to proceed
- Scott Norlin and Mark Oberstoetter , 6 April 2022
-
Vermilion enters Montney with Leucrotta acquisition
- Jonah Resnick , 31 March 2022
-
Canada tables emissions reduction plan to 2030
- Scott Norlin , 29 March 2022
-
Quest CCS receives performance scrutiny
- Mark Oberstoetter and Mhairidh Evans, 1 February 2022
-
ExxonMobil marketing its Montney and Duvernay position
- Mark Oberstoetter , 12 January 2022
-
Gas deals in the news for ARC Resources and CNRL
- Mark Oberstoetter , 11 November 2021
-
Pathways initiative lays out three phase plan to net zero
- Scott Norlin , 21 October 2021
-
Terra Nova confirms restart, ownership structure change
- Scott Norlin , 8 September 2021
-
Expanding egress in Canada
- Scott Norlin , 2 September 2021
-
JAPEX exits from the Hangingstone project
- Scott Norlin , 29 July 2021
-
Spartan Delta continues M&A growth path
- Scott Norlin , 29 July 2021
-
AER draft on liability management released
- Scott Norlin , 21 July 2021
-
New large scale carbon capture facility announced by Shell
- Scott Norlin , 13 July 2021
-
In second biggest deal of 2021 so far, Tourmaline to acquire Black Swan
- Scott Norlin , 11 June 2021
-
A new alliance ascends: The Oil Sands Pathways to Net Zero Initiative
- Rowena Gunn , 11 June 2021
-
Oil sands forecasts show bullish outlook to 2030
- Scott Norlin , 8 June 2021
-
Suncor commits to a 2050 net-zero Scope 1 & 2 emissions target
- April Read , 8 June 2021
-
Chevron marks out AOSP oil sands as non-strategic
- Mark Oberstoetter , 3 June 2021
-
Tourmaline continues Montney shopping spree
- Jon Gorrie , 19 May 2021
-
Canadian decarbonisation projects start to take shape
- Rowena Gunn , 11 May 2021
-
In situ hits monthly production record
- Scott Norlin , 4 May 2021
-
ESG takes center stage: Enerplus secures new US$900 million sustainability linked credit facility
- Scott Norlin , 30 April 2021
-
Rig rates back in recovery: our look back following spring break up
- Rowena Gunn , 13 April 2021
-
Tamarack Valley acquires Anegada Oil Corp
- Rowena Gunn , 12 April 2021
-
Whitecap Resources expands in Montney with a Cdn$300 million Kicking Horse deal
- Mark Oberstoetter , 5 April 2021
-
Advantage Oil & Gas heralds cost effective modular Carbon Capture and Storage
- Jon Gorrie , 1 April 2021
-
Stena Forth drillship sailing towards Canada
- Mark Oberstoetter , 30 March 2021
-
Carbon tax confirmed as constitutional
- Scott Norlin , 31 March 2021
-
Condensate and diluent: diving into the M&A induced changes
- Mark Oberstoetter , 15 March 2021
-
Oil sands Q4 results: stability returns in Q4 2020
- Scott Norlin , 8 March 2021
-
Double whammy of Duvernay deals
- Scott Norlin , 17 February 2021
-
Spartan spies Simonette, Montney and Willesden Green
- Scott Norlin , 16 February 2021
-
Midstream moves? Inter Pipeline attracts a hostile offer
- Mark Oberstoetter , 15 February 2021
-
A Montney champion rises
- Scott Norlin , 11 February 2021
-
Indicative issuance in Canada
- Scott Norlin , 21 January 2021
-
Exploration projects approved off Canada's East Coast
- April Read , 12 January 2021
-
Canada's carbon price to rise to $170/tonne: implications for upstream
- Mark Oberstoetter , 17 December 2020
-
5 things to look for in 2021
- April Read , 11 December 2020
-
Checking in on 2021 guidance
- Mark Oberstoetter , 10 December 2020
-
Whitecap acquires TORC for US$700 million
- Scott Norlin , 10 December
-
Cenovus divests Marten Hills
- Scott Norlin , 9 November 2020
-
Upstream webinar: Canada's evolving upstream landscape
- Tuesday, 10 November 2020 Americas 9:00AM MST | Europe 5:00PM BST
- Re-watch the recording of our webinar here .
-
Tourmaline doubles down on Deep Basin
- Scott Norlin , 5 November 2020
- Read our deal insight here
- One successful result in the 2020 Newfoundland and Labrador Call for Bids
- With or without you: an uncertain fate for the Keystone XL pipeline
-
Canadian consolidation continues: Montney focused M&A trends
- Scott Norlin , 26 October 2020
- Cenovus and Husky announce plans to merge
- Government curtailment ends in Alberta
-
TIER used to fund methane reduction development
- Scott Norlin , 29 September 2020
-
Suncor announces an operational update
- Scott Norlin , 7 September 2020
-
Consolidation continues in western Canada
- Scott Norlin , 31 August 2020
-
Waterous consolidates to form Strathcona Resources
- Scott Norlin , 14 August 2020
- CNRL swoops in to acquire Painted Pony
- The losses keep mounting for oil sands operators in Q2
-
Total writes down oil sands and rules out any future capacity increases
- Mark Oberstoetter , 29 July 2020
-
ConocoPhillips deals for Kelt's Inga Montney position
- Mark Oberstoetter , 22 July 2020
-
Tourmaline leading the pack
- Scott Norlin , 15 July 2020
-
Shifting tides of M&A in Canada
- Scott Norlin , 10 July 2020
- Revolver redeterminations continue to be extended
-
Financial focus in H2 2020
- Scott Norlin , 2 July 2020
- 1H 2020 published insights from the Canada team:
-
Wildcat discovery in offshore Newfoundland & Labrador?
- April Read , 10 June 2020
-
Longshore Resources combines with Rifle Shot, Steelhead and Primavera
- Rowena Gunn , 10 June 2020
-
Hydrogen – a new national energy strategy?
- April Read , 10 June 2020
-
After the crash - what's changed in Canada upstream?
- April Read , 9 June 2020
-
Canadian companies added to hedging tracker
- Scott Norlin , 26 May 2020
-
Federal funding for abandonment promising in Western Canada
- Scott Norlin , 26 May 2020
-
AER blocks Pieridae acquisition of Shell assets
- Scott Norlin , 15 May 2020
-
Canadian capex cuts compiled
- Rowena Gunn , 8 May 2020
-
An update on oil sands shut ins
- Mark Oberstoetter , 7 May 2020
-
Assessing debt levels: distant maturities create comfort for the larger producers
- Mark Oberstoetter , 5 May 2020
-
NGL pipeline delayed
- Scott Norlin , 27 April 2020
-
Webinar: a Canadian update on coronavirus and the oil price crash
- Mark Oberstoetter , 21 April 2020
-
Aid announced for oil and gas industry
- April Read ,20 April 2020
-
What's next for Canadian production?
- Rowena Gunn , 9 April 2020
-
Full scale oil sands shut-ins begin
- Rowena Gunn , 3 April 2020
-
Government of Alberta invests in Keystone XL
- April Read , 31 March 2020
-
Production shut-ins: unprecedented times calling for extreme measures
- Mark Oberstoetter , 27 March 2020
-
Bay du Nord shelved as a victim of price drop
- Mark Oberstoetter , 18 March 2020
-
Canadian capex cut
- Scott Norlin , 11 March 2020
-
Tourmaline consolidates in the Montney
- Scott Norlin , 25 February 2020
-
Teck withdraws the Frontier mining project
- April Read , 24 February 2020
-
Coronavirus: how is it impacting the oil and gas sector?
- Fraser McKay , 24 February 2020
-
TC Energy to expand WCSB gas infrastructure
- Scott Norlin , 13 February 2020
- Clearing obstacles
- April Read , 4 Feb 2020
- Rigs spike in January
- Mark Oberstoetter , 13 January 2020
- Cenovus plans a date for net zero emissions
- Lease sales underwhelm in December and all of 2019
- CN Rail strike threatens egress
- The struggles of highly leveraged Alberta mid-sized producers continue
- Pengrowth
- Bellatrix
- Suncor announces low-carbon cogeneration FID
- Koch Industries makes an oil sands exit
- Oil sands emissions: increasing or decreasing?
- Oil slick at Hibernia necessitates production shut in
- Alberta announces two fiscal changes
- Comparing play-wide average returns to price realisations
- Shell sells conventional sour Foothills gas to LNG aspirant Pieridae Energy for Cdn$190mm
- TransMountain Expansion receives government approval
- CNRL acquires Devon's Canada assets
- Pacific Oil & Gas acquires Montney-specialist Canbriam Energy
- Bill C-69 proposed project list released
- Q1 2019 in the oil sands: what to watch for
- Blue wave sweeps Alberta legislature
- Deal activity remains quiet
- Deal activity remains quiet
- Chevron applies to expand Kitimat LNG license
- Oil sands project status update
- Montney production remains resilient
- Pipeline peril continues
- Devon eyes Canada exit
- Alberta curtailments tweaked for February
- Western Canada rig counts eclipse 2016 doldrums
- Alberta government mandating production curtailments of up to 325 kbd in 2019
- Our latest insights, podcasts and webinars
- Meet our team
Tables and charts
This report includes 87 images and tables including:
- 2020 Newfoundland and Labrador Call for Bid results
- Alberta production breakdown
- Completed RBL redeterminations
- Redetermination extensions
- TMX shippers
- TMX realisations before and after toll increase
- Peyto and Repsol Deep Basin Assets
- Table 1: Deep Basin M&A transactions over US$100M
- Table 2: Gas-weighted Western Canada M&A transactions over US$100M
- Strathcona Resources Ltd. (new public entity)
- SMID-Cap Montney operator details
- SMID-Cap Montney operators - sized by valuation
- Production impact of a three year bay du Nord delay
- Deal structure evolution
- Surmont asset performance
- Map of Drayton Valley selected lease positions
- TotalEnergies global emissions intensity before and after sale
- Map showing existing and on offer parcels
- Tamarack Valley acquisition of Deltastream Clearwater play acreage West Central Alberta
- Kiwetinohk land base
- Emissions reduction target coverage
- Canadian regulatory roundup
- Eastern Newfoundland Region parcels available for bid
- Corporate reported net earnings
- Oil sands mining production
- Five year trend of extractive operating costs
- Bay du Nord cluster cash flow at a US$60/bbl long term flat real price
- Leucrotta Montney acreage map
- Emissions profile (historic and target) vs. production
- Absolute emissions reduction forecast
- Quest CCS annual performance
- Celtic Exploration and ExxonMobil-operated drilling activity
- ExxonMobil Resthaven and Kaybob acreage position
- Net Zero Pathways
- Net Zero Pathways infrastructure
- Western Canada pipeline capacity
- Oil sands emissions by working interest owner
- Comparison of oil sands bitumen production forecasts
- Suncor emisisons
- AOSP Project cash flow
- AOSP Project emissions and intensity
- Tourmaline and Saguaro land positions
- Offshore total emissions intensity by country (2017-2021)
- In situ monthly production
- Active rig count by play
- Whitecap's M&A history
- Whitecap's production history
- Shell and Crescent Point Duvernay map
- Cequence asset base
- Post tax net cash flow or ARC Resources combined with Seven Generations
- Newfoundland and Labrador approved project lease locations
- Capital expenditure budgets
- Company land base
- Alberta methane emissions
- Total's oil sands working interest cash flow under three price scenarios
- Well activity map
- Production and drilling history by operator
- Hedging breakdown for Canadian operators
- Abandonment funding
- Capital budget revisions
- Selected companies debt by maturity
- Net debt vs. % maturing within five years
- Tourmaline acquisition acreage northeast BC
- Drilling activity - formation targets
- Drilling activity - operators
- Company-level emissions intensity from oil sands projects
- Western Canada leasing results
- Encana cashflow by region
- Koch and Paramount Resources oil sands lease positions
- Oil sands emissions intensity
- Play average IRR% versus 2019 price
- West Canada oil supply - local refinery consumption vs pipeline takeaway capacity
- Consideration metrics for oil sands and heavy oil deals
- Northern BC sub-play map
- Northern BC IP30 ranking
- Oil sands emissions forecast
- Canada crude oil exports by rail
- Jackfish NPV10 comparison
- Canada upstream M&A consideration and deal count
- Asian LNG demand growth
- Aspen cumulative cash flow
- Montney gas production
- Provincial rig count 2014-present
- Regional rig count 2014-present
What's included
This report contains:
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