As peak summer cooling season draws to a close 2017's weather continues to dim the prospects of a significant gas price rally despite some of the strongest fundamentals ever. The six month moving average of our supply demand balance has never been tighter in 15 years than it has been in all of 2017. With normal weather Henry Hub prices likely would have traded up toward $4/mmbtu. Instead our degree day index (accounting for both heating and cooling needs) is at the lowest year to date level for those same 15 years. As a result we reduce our near term gas price forecast. Watch for an average Henry Hub price in the low $3/mmbtu range next month but rallying to $3.25/mmbtu for the fourth quarter of this year. Hurricanes Harvey and Irma have had near term impacts on our demand forecast although longer term estimates will need more time to discern. In the immediate near term we reduce average ERCOT Houston loads by seven percent on average through the end of the year. Still we ramp demand back to normal for now by the end of the year based in part on expected stimulus during the recovery relative support from chemicals refining and industrials and total damage to the ERCOT housing stock. Less data is available for Florida from the whole impact of Irma; however September 11 power loads were 47 percent below same time last year on average. For Florida we ramp loads back to normal over the next 12 months although this is subject to change as more information becomes available. Over the past 12 months 8 GW of solar has been added to the grid and 11 GW of wind. The bulk of the wind comes in ERCOT SPP and MISO as wind developers facing growing certainty of the PTC phase out are doubling down on tried and true markets across the Great Plains where wind costs are the lowest and PTC revenues are the highest. While about half the of solar has been installed in the WECC the Southeast has seen the largest concentration of build out in the Eastern Interconnect this past year with about 1.3 GW having been installed in the region. About 700 MW each have been installed in ERCOT the Northeast and the Midcontinent (SPP and MISO). In the WECC for the most part the solar eclipse didn t have a striking impact on operations on August 21. There was a little upward movement in BPA hydro generation and net Interchange (exports). Still very little change in fossil (Coal/Gas/Biomass) generation during the eclipse. This in spite of BPA wind that was minimal during the eclipse versus hitting 4 GW the previous Friday.