The global ethylene cost curve in a $100/bbl world

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The recent rise in the oil price could lead to significant repercussions in the global petrochemicals industry. Brent crude oil has breached and is currently flirting with $100/bbl. Wood Mackenzie’s base-case global ethylene outlook over the coming industry cycle to 2025, includes a period of below mid-cycle utilisation rates. This view is built around a large and sustained build of capacity, particularly in Asia Pacific, relative to underlying global demand growth levels. This report discusses: the overall shape of the cost curve in a $100/bbl oil pricing environment; the key factors driving the four quartiles of the global ethylene cost curve; overall regional winners and losers in terms of competitive positioning.

Table of contents

  • Introduction
  • Global ethylene cost curves
  • Our take
  • Final thoughts

Tables and charts

This report includes 1 images and tables including:

  • 2022 global ethylene cost curve at $100/bbl oil case

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Ethylene Asset Benchmarking Tool.pdf

    PDF 2.03 MB

  • Document

    The global ethylene cost curve in a $100/bbl world

    PDF 824.48 KB