Insight
Australia: Is it time to shut down?
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*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below
Report summary
The majority of coal mines in Australia have been able to withstand lower coal prices and avoid closure. The fixed cost nature of infrastructure charges ('The pain of take-or-pay'), is one of many factors that has made shutting down even more expensive than producing coal at negative margins. As a result, negative margin producers have an incentive to maintain or increase output, instead of opting for production cuts or mine closure. We estimate that 4 million tonnes of Australian coal...
Table of contents
- Executive summary
- Assessing the shut-down decision
- Mines at risk of shutting down
Tables and charts
This report includes the following images and tables:
- The likelihood of mine closure depends on cost structure and the flexibility of the operator
- Negative margin tonnes at risk of shutting down (Base case pricing scenario 2013)
- Tonnes at risk grows considerably under lower coal price scenarios
- Assumptions and Impacted Production
What's included
This report contains:
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