Commodity market report

North America thermal coal long-term outlook H1 2015

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Report summary

2014 draws to a close with a discouraging outlook for the coal markets for both producers and consumers. Producers face several more years of low prices and weak demand. Consumers must contend with continuing deliverability issues over contracted positions as natural gas producers lower prices to move volume into the power markets and even the future viability of some coal suppliers.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    CMS Census Region Analysis June.xls

    XLS 1.67 MB

  • Document

    CMS Basin Level Analysis June.xls

    XLS 1.29 MB

  • Document

    North America Coal Markets Highlights H1 2015.pdf

    PDF 1.11 MB

  • Document

    CMS Demand Analysis June.xls

    XLS 487.00 KB

  • Document

    CMS Environment and Emissions Data June.xls

    XLS 9.18 MB

  • Document

    CMS Executive Summary June.xls

    XLS 13.79 MB

  • Document

    CMS Prices Coal Gas and Emissions June.xls

    XLS 714.50 KB

  • Document

    CMS Total Coal Production June.xls

    XLS 465.00 KB

  • Document

    CMS Unit Coal Choices June.xls

    XLS 3.76 MB

  • Document

    CMS Unit Coal Economics June.xls

    XLS 16.02 MB

  • Document

    LTO Graph Tool.zip

    ZIP 9.05 MB

  • Document

    North America thermal coal long-term outlook H1 2015

    PDF 1.49 MB

  • Document

    North America thermal coal long-term outlook H1 2015

    ZIP 33.33 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 124.09 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 86.94 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 87.62 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 115.88 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 145.38 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 151.41 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 387.46 KB

  • Document

    Risks and uncertainties

    PDF 839.99 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Prices
  • Economic outlook
  • Policy and regulation
  • Demand
  • Supply
  • Infrastructure
  • Risks and uncertainties

Tables and charts

This report includes 22 images and tables including:

Images

  • Market coal price forecast factors (Real 2015 US$)
  • Economic outlook: Image 1
  • Regional GDP growth - 13-Year CAGR (2012-2025))
  • Electricity Demand Outlook
  • Generation Mix Outlook
  • Demand: Image 3
  • Demand: Image 4
  • Demand: Image 5
  • Demand: Image 6
  • Demand: Image 7
  • Demand: Image 8
  • Demand: Image 9
  • Mine cash cost reduction
  • Assumed probability, timing and impact of risks*
  • Policy and regulation: Image 1
  • Policy and regulation: Image 2
  • US thermal coal supply outlook (Mst)
  • Infrastructure: Image 1

Tables

  • Executive summary: Table 1
  • 2015 US thermal coal production cuts/delays announced in 2015 YTD
  • Policy and regulation: Table 1
  • US coal exporting capacity by port

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