Insight
Changes in LNG seasonality: the growing impact of weather
*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below
Report summary
The LNG supply profile is changing. The gas liquefaction process is sensitive to temperature and the greater geographic spread of new LNG projects means weather will increasingly drive the seasonality of LNG supply. Impacts will vary but most striking is growing risk in Asia-Pacific, particularly in the winter. However, greater risk brings some opportunities as well.
Table of contents
- Executive summary
-
Background: technology and geography
- Changes in the global seasonal supply shape
-
Impacts of seasonality in the Atlantic and Pacific will vary
- While in the Pacific it will expose the market to greater risk...
- ...making the market more susceptible to shocks
- Winter supply risks create opportunities for Canada, Russia and other suppliers
- Fundamentals point to a summer surplus deepening counter seasonal market opportunities
- Conclusions
Tables and charts
This report includes the following images and tables:
- Table 1: Combined impact of a 1 °C change in ambient temperature on LNG output
- Map 1: Average annual temperature variation (ºC) and LNG plant location
- Changes in LNG seasonality: the growing impact of weather: Image 2
- Map 2: Seasonal LNG flows
- Changes in LNG seasonality: the growing impact of weather: Table 2
- Chart 2: Seasonal LNG supply shape of traditional LNG projects
- Chart 3: Seasonal LNG supply shape with new projects
- Chart 5: Share of Asia LNG from local suppliers
- Chart 6: Asia-Pacific LNG demand by season
What's included
This report contains:
Other reports you may be interested in
Insight
A second Trump administration Part 2: A deep dive into energy and commodities
A deep dive into energy and commodities
$3,000
Insight
What Shell’s acquisition of Pavilion LNG assets means for the Singapore gas market
Shell to acquire Pavilion’s LNG assets. Explore its impact on Singapore's market structure and LNG bunkering services.
$950
Country Report
Global oil supply short-term update - June 2019
Slowdown in growth as further downgrades made to OPEC. Non-OPEC supply continues to grow.
$1,650
