Insight

Brexit begins

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*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below

On 29 March, the UK government notified the European Council of its intention to withdraw from the European Union. Both parties now have two years to thrash out the details of the separation. As negotiations begin over the terms of the UK's withdrawal, uncertainty continues to mount. The impact of Brexit on the economy will depend on the restrictions imposed on the free movement of goods and services, labour and capital. In this insight we outline our post-Brexit outlook for the UK economy.

Table of contents

  • Keep calm and carry on?
  • 'Hard' Brexit
  • Will the EU fragment further?
  • Conclusion
  • Economic indicators

Tables and charts

This report includes 21 images and tables including:

  • Increase in GDP by component vs Q1 2008
  • UK labour market
  • UK trade balance
  • UK net migration
  • UK real GDP growth
  • USA Purchasing Managers' Indices
  • Eurozone Purchasing Managers' Indices
  • Japan Purchasing Managers' Indices
  • China Purchasing Managers' Indices
  • Industrial production
  • Industrial production
  • Consumer Sentiment Index (3-month moving avg.)
  • Consumer Sentiment Index (3-month moving avg.)
  • 10-year government bond yields (%)
  • 10-year government bond yields (%)
  • Consumer Price Index (annual % change)
  • Consumer Price Index (annual % change)
  • Exchange Rate Indices vs US$ (Jan 2012 = 100)
  • Exchange Rate Indices vs US$ (Jan 2012 = 100)
  • Oil and gas prices
  • Copper and freight prices

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Brexit begins

    PDF 811.79 KB