Commodity Market Report

NYMEX sensitivity case developed from the Mexico gas, power and renewables Investment Horizon Outlook 2024

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*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below

This “NYMEX” case represents the use of the New York Mercantile Exchange futures gas prices and its impact on our long-term outlook on Mexico’s power sector. Wood Mackenzie’s gas price forecast – a key component of our Base Case (Mexico, gas, power and renewables 10- year investment horizon outlook 2024) projects a rebound in the Henry Hub prices later this decade with the next wave of LNG exports averaging a price of around US$4/MMBtu by 2030. The growth rate steepens for the 2030’s decade with prices averaging US$4.30/MMBtu

Table of contents

  • This NYMEX case represents the use of the New York Mercantile Exchange futures gas prices and the impact on Mexico’s power sector’s long-term outlook.

Tables and charts

This report includes the following images and tables:

  • NYMEX vs. Wood Mackenzie’s Henry Hub gas price forecast
  • Annual average LMPs in key regions (NYMEX case vs. Base Case)
  • Annual Average LMPs in key regions (NYMEX case vs Base Case)
  • Annual and Monthly Energy Prices' Percentage Delta in key regions (NYMEX case vs Base Case)

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Power Nymex 01 20 2025.pdf

    PDF 452.83 KB