Commodity Market Report

Lithuania downstream oil long-term outlook

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08 August 2018

Lithuania downstream oil long-term outlook

Report summary

Lithuania's economy has posted consistent GDP growth in recent years, but oil demand remains below pre-recession levels despite stimulation from low oil prices. Poland's PKN ORLEN operates Lithuania's sole refinery, which covers the majority of the country's refined product requirements and exports its surplus to neighbouring Baltic states. The refinery's capacity and complexity are above the European average, but it suffers from high crude transport costs after losing access to the Druzhba pipeline system. Heavy rationalisation of the retail fuels network over the past decade has reduced the total number of service stations, thereby supporting higher average throughputs per site. As long-term road fuel demand gradually declines, we expect further consolidation in the retail fuel market as small independent networks are acquired by larger players.

Table of contents

    • Market drivers
    • Outlook
  • Demand
    • Regulatory issues
    • Product quality
  • Trade
    • Fuels retailing
      • Volumes
        • Network size and structure
        • Market Shares
      • Overall network development
      • International oil companies
      • Independents
      • Network efficiency
      • Performance pacesetters in the retail market
    • Commercial fuels
    • Fuel marketing margins
      • Main products: annual average unit gross margin
    • Distribution of oil products
    • Oil product storage infrastructure
      • Independent petroleum product storage
    • Crude oil delivery
      • Country crude slate overview
    • Refining overview
      • ORLEN Lietuva refinery profile

Tables and charts

This report includes 19 images and tables including:

  • Key demand indicators
  • Demand: Table 2
  • Trade balance 2009 - 2017
  • Trade: Table 1
  • Trade: Table 2
  • Storage and distribution infrastructure map
  • Main products: monthly unit gross margins 2011 - 2018
  • Infrastructure: Table 1
  • Pipeline capacity and ownership
  • Retail fuel volumes
  • Number of sites and average throughputs
  • Network effectiveness ratio: ratio of share of fuel sales to share of sites
  • Margins: Table 1
  • Margins: Table 2
  • Crude input slate - 2016
  • Infrastructure: Table 3
  • Market structure: Table 1
  • Retail outlets by brand
  • Market structure: Table 3

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Lithuania downstream oil long-term outlook

    PDF 939.46 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 677.35 KB

  • Document


    PDF 721.01 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 677.79 KB

  • Document


    PDF 729.06 KB

  • Document

    Market structure

    PDF 749.08 KB

  • Document


    PDF 722.35 KB

  • Document


    PDF 814.67 KB

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