Commodity Market Report

Turkey downstream oil long-term outlook

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03 October 2017

Turkey downstream oil long-term outlook

Report summary

Turkey's oil products demand remains on a solid upward trajectory and is considered to be the largest growth market in Europe. SOCAR is currently building the only grass roots refinery project in Europe - completion expected in 2018 - which will break the long-held Tupras refining monopoly. The retail landscape changed drastically in 2010 with the introduction of five year service station dealer contracts, with many of these changing brand again in 2015. Despite the country's strong growth prospects, Total announced the sale of its standalone Turkish fuels marketing business in 2015, with OMV also announcing its exit from Turkish market in 2016, selling its marketing business to Vitol. Price caps introduced by regulator EMRA in recent years have raised concerns about the long-term profitability for fuels marketers in Turkey. 

Table of contents

    • Market drivers
    • Outlook
    • Gasoline
    • Jet/kerosene
    • Gas/diesel oil
    • Fuel oil
    • Regulatory issues
    • Product quality
  • Trade
    • Fuels retailing
      • Volumes
      • Overall network development
      • International oil companies
        • OMV Petrol Ofisi
        • Shell Turcas
        • BP
        • Total/Demirören
        • Gulf
        • LUKOIL/Akpet
      • Independent groups
        • Opet
        • Petline
        • Alpet
        • M-Oil
        • Other companies
      • Network efficiency
        • Number of sites and average throughputs
      • Performance pacesetters in the retail market
      • Non-fuel retailing
    • Commercial fuels
      • Motor fuels (gasoline/diesel)
      • Industrial/domestic gas oil
      • Aviation kerosene
      • Heavy fuel oil
      • Marine bunkers
      • LPG
        • LPG demand breakdown
      • Lubricants
      • Bitumen
    • Key issues influencing gross fuel margins
    • Storage and distribution infrastructure
    • Storage capacity concentration
    • Independent petroleum product storage

Tables and charts

This report includes 41 images and tables including:

  • Key demand indicators
  • Total demand
  • Annual demand change
  • Demand by product
  • Demand by sector
  • Trade balance 2009 - 2016
  • Trade: Table 1
  • Trade: Image 2
  • Trade: Table 2
  • Trade: Image 3
  • Trade: Table 3
  • Trade: Image 4
  • Trade: Table 4
  • Trade: Image 5
  • Trade: Table 5
  • Car parc by fuel type
  • Gas/diesel oil demand by sector
  • Fuel oil demand by sector
  • Demand forecast
  • Margins: Table 1
  • Infrastructure: Image 1
  • Means of primary distribution
  • Infrastructure: Table 1
  • Independent storage facilities
  • Pipeline capacity and ownership
  • Crude input slate - 2016
  • Izmir refinery profile
  • Infrastructure: Table 5
  • Infrastructure: Table 6
  • Kirikkale refinery profile
  • Retail fuel volumes
  • Retail outlets by brand
  • Market shares*
  • Network effectiveness ratio: ratio of share of fuel sales to share of sites
  • Jet fuel market shares - 2016
  • Heavy fuel oil market shares - 2016
  • Market structure: Image 2
  • Market structure: Image 6
  • Total LPG market shares - 2016
  • Bottled LPG market shares - 2016
  • Auto-LPG market shares - 2016

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Turkey downstream oil long-term outlook

    PDF 787.77 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 80.53 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 134.50 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 79.67 KB

  • Document

    Trade

    PDF 134.39 KB

  • Document

    Market structure

    PDF 180.79 KB

  • Document

    Margins

    PDF 118.35 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 395.15 KB

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