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The global ethylene cost curve in a $100/bbl world

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25 February 2022

The global ethylene cost curve in a $100/bbl world

Report summary

The recent rise in the oil price could lead to significant repercussions in the global petrochemicals industry. Brent crude oil has breached and is currently flirting with $100/bbl. Wood Mackenzie’s base-case global ethylene outlook over the coming industry cycle to 2025, includes a period of below mid-cycle utilisation rates. This view is built around a large and sustained build of capacity, particularly in Asia Pacific, relative to underlying global demand growth levels. This report discusses: the overall shape of the cost curve in a $100/bbl oil pricing environment; the key factors driving the four quartiles of the global ethylene cost curve; overall regional winners and losers in terms of competitive positioning.

Table of contents

  • Introduction
  • Global ethylene cost curves
  • Our take
  • Final thoughts

Tables and charts

This report includes 1 images and tables including:

  • 2022 global ethylene cost curve at $100/bbl oil case

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Ethylene Asset Benchmarking Tool.pdf

    PDF 2.03 MB

  • Document

    The global ethylene cost curve in a $100/bbl world

    PDF 824.48 KB