Featured

2026 outlook

Autonomous electric vehicles: four things to look for in 2026

Innovative technologies underpin an accelerated market expansion

In the full report:  

  • Why 2026 marks a turning point for AEVs - from pilot projects to commercial-scale deployment

  • How AI innovation, particularly new VLA models, is transforming the cost, speed and economics of autonomy

  • Which regions and players are best positioned to shape the next phase of global AEV growth

  • And more 

Download the complimentary report

Download the complimentary report

Andrew Brown

Director, Head of Demand and Scenarios

Andrew is responsible for aligning our consumption views across commodities.

View Andrew Brown's full profile

In 2026, the Transport-as-a-Service (TaaS) sector is set to move decisively beyond pilot programmes, with AEVs expected to be operational or testing in 39 markets worldwide by year-end. After years of experimentation, the sector is entering a capital-intensive scaling phase - underpinned by rapid technology maturation and a surge in investment that reached US$18 billion in 2025. 

This shift marks a clear inflection point. New AI architectures are compressing launch timelines, lowering costs, and fundamentally reshaping the economics of autonomous deployment. As a result, AEVs are beginning to transition from isolated trials to commercial-scale operations across multiple regions simultaneously. 

In our recent report, Autonomous electric vehicles: four things to look for in 2026, our experts drew on analysis from Wood Mackenzie’s Lens Power & Renewables, Electric Vehicle and Battery Supply Chain Service and Lens Energy Transition Scenarios solutions to examine how this next phase of growth will unfold - and who stands to shape it. 

The report explores and answers critical questions including: 

  • Are autonomous electric vehicles finally moving from pilots to mainstream deployment? 
  • Who will define the global AEV market - platform leaders or supply-chain powerhouses? 
  • Where are AEV pilots translating into real commercial momentum beyond the US and China? 
  • Are new AI models the key to scalable, commercially viable autonomy? 

Fill in the form at the top of the page to access your complimentary copy of the report.