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On this week's The Edge, Simon Flowers examines the new investment cycle underway for commodities to meet the growing demand from both a recovering global economy and the energy transition.
We hosted our EMEA Global Energy and Natural Resources Summit in London last week. Here are some of the big themes debated on the stage.
The energy crisis is raising doubts about the pace the world can move towards net zero. Governments' more urgent priorities are to keep the lights on and economies ticking even if that means more fossil fuels.
Europe’s energy market is out of control. Current stratospheric prices for gas and power pose risks to economies and households. Minimising collateral damage to economies – not to mention, saving lives – depends on the energy industry, governments and consumers themselves all doing the right things
The oil and gas sector is back with a bang in the stock market this year, reversing the flow of capital towards low-carbon energy plays. Investors have found the surging cash flow and dividends irresistible.
Germany is on the front line of the energy security crisis and has a radical plan to break its dependence on Russian gas, oil and coal. What can other countries learn from Germany's pivot?
US utility-scale solar: will policy power a rebound?
What's driven the rally, what is the outlook for supply and demand fundamentals in 2022, and how will geopolitics, including the Russia/Ukraine crisis, play out?
The effect of any reduction in Russian gas exports will ripple out much more widely into global gas, LNG and power markets.
African nations see oil, gas and coal as the fast-track way to improve energy access. But there is uncertainty about future demand, ESG and net zero ambitions.
Where new oil supply to 2030 will come from and what it costs
What is the oil and gas industry doing to cut carbon emissions? Tougher policy will help but much is in the upstream industry’s gift.
The return of Iranian exports to the oil market in 2021 was a clear risk. If sanctions are lifted, how much oil could Iran produce and how quickly? What wiggle room would OPEC+ have to accommodate Iran's exports? What would be the effect on the oil price?
Led by Asia, and with vaccine roll-out underway, global economic growth should bounce back strong in 2021. It sets the scene for a much better year in commodity markets. But do surging oil, gas and metals prices point to something more lasting?
Structural oversupply has already led to refinery closures, with more to follow. But some competitively weak refineries can be repurposed to produce low-carbon biodiesel, one of the few segments of oil demand with strong growth prospects.
We hosted the CEOs from Shell, Total, Eni and SSE as well as senior executives from numerous other leading oil and gas companies and utilities over three days at our EMEA Energy Summit. So what were the hot topics?
Gas is to be the bridging fuel of the transition, its lower carbon intensity supporting its position in the energy mix longer than coal and oil. Yet nothing can be taken for granted as decarbonisation policy tilts the playing field away from fossil fuels.
The discovery of huge gas resources has made the Eastern Mediterranean an industry hot spot. Majors, NOCs and independents see a growth opportunity that could last for decades. LNG exports might be the path to full commercialisation. But geopolitics stand in the way. How can the interested parties find a way forward?
Will the effect of coronavirus be more lasting for demand or supply? Will the oil price be lower-for-longer? Or, if demand recovers, could the sharp reduction in upstream investment lead to a tighter market and higher prices? Find out more in this week's Edge.
Future energy demand patterns could look very different depending on policy choices and the societal response to the pandemic. Our three scenarios suggest oil demand in particular is at risk. How will the increased uncertainty influence corporate strategy? Will we see diversifying companies speed up investment in decarbonisation? What are the options for pure oil and gas players, big or small?
The oil price collapse has plunged the oil sector into negative cash flow. Can the M&A market help companies bolster finances? Find out more in this week's Edge.
Can a decade be a turning point? So much happened in the energy sector, the 2010s might be seen as just that.
Energy markets are in the midst of profound change – we're getting used to that. But what big, identifiable key risks might lurk in the shadows in the next 12 months that could make us change our view for 2020 and beyond? Here are five.
The attack on Saudi Arabia’s oil infrastructure took out over 5% of global oil supply and temporarily pushed up prices by 20%. What does the attack say about the security of oil’s supply chain?
LNG is on track for prodigious growth in the next two decades. Is the traditional business model that’s worked for six decades fit for purpose? How should a 21st-century LNG player tool up to maximise value?
Dwindling spare OPEC capacity leaves market vulnerable to disruption. Learn more.
Could Iran Sanctions See Brent Spike to U.S.$100 a barrel? The oil market faces a precarious few months. The imposition of U.S. secondary sanctions on Iranian exports on November 5 is the critical factor behind Brent’s rally to more than U.S.$80 a barrel in October. There’s enough supply to meet demand this winter, but the margin for error is worryingly narrow.
Will this latest bull run in oil prices trigger a new phase of upstream M&A? The sector is feeling emboldened again – a confidence that’s justified up to a point.
How to stay relevant? Every oil and gas company is pondering the energy transition, and how to adapt a business model that’s served well for the last century to be fit-for-purpose through the 21st and beyond.
Share price movements can be a good early indicator of changing fortunes. The oil and gas sector had a great month in September, jumping 8% and outperforming the broader global stock market by 6%. It’s more than just rotational buying.
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