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Competition is fierce and struggling Asian refiners must now take full advantage of the abundant crude options to maximise their margins.
As the number of new cases of coronavirus starts to slow across Europe, there have been moves to ease restrictions in some markets. As a result, while milder weather and an oversupplied market are still putting gas demand under significant pressure, signs of demand recovery are slowly emerging.
The coronavirus global pandemic and subsequent collapse in oil price has had a profound impact on global gas markets, changing supply and demand fundamentals. The timing of the global gas market recovery is the biggest uncertainty.
Green hydrogen has grabbed the limelight in the drive to decarbonise. But is there a role for natural gas in a post-coronavirus Europe?
Global gas demand has proved resilient despite widespread coronavirus lockdowns - but supply dynamics are more challenging. Will gas and LNG demand continue to recover? And what forces will shape the market over the next two decades?
On 4 February, President Trump reinstated his policy of “maximum pressure” on Iran to reduce its oil exports to zero. The goal is to throttle Iran’s nuclear program by eliminating the revenue the regime earns through sales of oil. As part of this pressure campaign, President Trump announced new sanctions.
Within weeks of taking office, President Trump escalated his threat to impose steep import tariffs (25%) on Canada and Mexico, coming within hours of enacting them before negotiations prevailed. In the unveiled plan, Canadian energy – including oil and gas – were granted an exception of a lesser 10% US import tariff, highlighting the high codependency between Canadian producers and US refiners.…
Bold assumptions, but not unrealistic. But what would happen with a second wave of prolonged, nationwide lockdowns? What would this mean for economic activity? How will oil and gas supply and prices be affected? Will Asia’s demand-led recovery be blown off course?
Current low gas prices are supporting demand growth in the sector and encouraging pro-gas policies and infrastructure developments
The Covid-19 pandemic has caused a reduction in demand for crude oil. However, what is less spoken about is how that reduction affects the chain of actors in the oil production process.
Despite being both the world’s largest energy market and largest carbon emitter, China’s position has long been that responsibility to reduce global emissions rests with rich countries: you broke it, you fix it.
The 2020 elections bring US energy policy to a fork in the road. Trump offers continuity, with some further easing of regulations on the oil, gas and coal industries. Biden offers a return to the Obama administration’s strategy of using regulation to cut emissions, and more ambitious moves if the Democrats win control of Congress.
Henry Hub gas prices have gone global. Historically, unlike WTI oil prices, Henry Hub gas prices were an “island” and not impacted by global market dynamics. However, times have changed as US LNG feed gas requirements for exports have reached close to 10 bcfd, or 10% of the total US gas market.
Gail Anderson, Research Director, Sub-Saharan Africa Upstream Oil and Gas, presented at NAPE looking at advantaged barrels – looking at the Nigeria producers’ exposure to oil vs gas assets and oil price volatility, and the drivers for M&A.
IOCs have just been through one of their toughest ever years. But the sector is primed for a V-shaped free cash flow recovery, potentially to record levels. What’s fuelling the shift in fortunes, and how will it shape corporate priorities?
So, when freezing conditions hit the southern US last week, resulting in feedgas into LNG plants collapsing from above 10 bcfd to just below 2 bcfd, and with some Texas price markers soaring north of US$400/mmbtu, anxiety levels should have been rising.
The year ahead will shape the role of gas in the energy transition. Read our predictions for the top five global trends for gas and LNG, and how they could play out in Europe, North America and Southeast Asia.
None of us could have foreseen what happened this winter. Cost of supply became an irrelevance as Asian spot LNG prices went into orbit. From lows of around US$2/mmbtu in April, the JKM price soared north of US$32/mmbtu last week, with media reports of Trafigura purchasing a cargo from Total at US$39.3/mmbtu.
While it may well claim the crown of world’s largest LNG exporter in 2021, Australia faces rising problems with its gas.
When President Xi Jinping spoke of the risks of ‘tech wars’ at the World Economic Forum’s virtual Davos Agenda event on Monday, there was little doubt who he was aiming at. At a White House briefing later that day, press secretary Jen Psaki stated that “Technology is of course at the centre of US-China competition.”
Covid-19 and the oil price crash sent shockwaves through the oil market in 2020. How will continuing uncertainty affect global demand, supply and refining in 2021?
At present, China accounts for almost 75% of global lithium-ion battery manufacturing capacity and this share is set to increase through the short term with its build-out of new facilities.
Less than six years after the National League for Democracy won a landslide election victory after more than half a century of military rule, the country’s generals are once again in control. Already hundreds of civilians have been killed protesting the February 1 coup, leading to international condemnation and the imposition of economic sanctions by many western governments.
There is a dispute over whether the US Postal Service should buy EVs, but the private sector is pressing ahead with orders.
With China buying around a third of everything Australia exports on a value basis, the downward spiral in Sino-Australian diplomatic relations is clearly of concern.
Using our Lens platform, we've analysed the potential joint venture between Eni and bp in Angola
With Japan’s LNG demand in long-term structural decline, China will this year become the world’s largest LNG market.
With future oil and gas demand highly uncertain, advantaged resources with the lowest costs, lowest carbon emissions and best economics stand the greatest chance of being commercialised. The Middle East won the geological lottery, but how does it fare on other fronts?
Effective carbon pricing is essential to achieve the emissions reductions required by the Paris Agreement. COP26 could be vital for global emissions trading.
Rallying prices underscore the delicate supply-demand balance in an increasingly global market
Our COP26 briefing considers the implications for the oil market and refining industry of a global concerted effort to reduce emissions and limit a temperature rise by 2050 to 2 °C.
Agreements at COP26 will define ambitions, but the impact on supply, demand and process will be dictated by policy actions
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